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Recent Posts

  • Picking hardware for local AI inference in 2026

    Nobody buying AI hardware in 2026 is short on opinions. Everyone has a take. The forums are full of people who swear by their setup and can’t understand …

  • Deriving the AI Depreciation Curve

    Last time I wrote about the future value of GPU compute I ended on a hand-wave: economic life is probably 2 to 3 years, the 6-year schedules are optimistic, and …

  • Most Small Businesses Never Sell

    Say you own a small business you want to sell. Not a $40 million supermarket chain, but something the SBA actually means when it says “small”: a …

  • Tools That You Serve

    There’s a recurring pattern in how humans build things: we design a system to serve us, it scales, and somewhere past a certain threshold it flips, and …

  • Future Value of GPU Compute

    There’s a number that comes up constantly in AI coverage: the size of the capex commitment. Microsoft, Google, Meta, Amazon, collectively spending …

  • Building an SMB inference stack

    Frontier API costs are fine when you’re experimenting. They get painful once you’re running a real workload. GPT-4o is $2.50 per million input …

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